16

Lombok Jiel
5yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paul Buquet - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#14
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | P Y Verva | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | P Y Verva | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | P Y Verva | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | P Y Verva | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | P Y Verva | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | P Y Verva | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 13-18 · tight 77/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 18th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 81% | +0.21 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |