6

Lucky Jackson
5yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paul Buquet - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#18
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Vincennes | F Nivard | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Vincennes | F Lagadeuc | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-30 | Vincennes | D Bonne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Vincennes | D Bonne | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-28 | Vincennes | Mlle Alexiane Lepage | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 8-18 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 01/03/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 25/04/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 10/05/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |
| 07/06/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/07/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 16/11/2025 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/01/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |