4
Beau Quali
6yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 116
Ascot · Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 63y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Chepstow | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Uttoxeter | S Bowen | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Chepstow | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chepstow | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Hereford | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Southwell | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength48%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 02/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 43% | -0.50 |
| 09/10/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |