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9

Jammy Jay

6yo Mare · 10-3 · OR 95

Ascot · Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 63y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who finished runner-up in lesser handicaps at Uttoxeter/Bangor this summer. Hardly shaped like one stepping back up in trip when well-held sixth at Chepstow (19f, soft) last time. Strong chance she'll get outpaced at some point against better opposition here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Worcester 20/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 2m Gd 15820/0844 @ Uttoxeter 31/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 93 · 1m7f168y Goo 160 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 93 par5 @ Hereford 25/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 100 · 2m53y Gd 167 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 100 par25/115OR 1004 @ Aintree 26/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 100 · 2m4f GS 149 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 100 par4 @ Ludlow 15/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 99 · 1m7f169y Goo 147 · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 99 par15/014OR 995 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 97 · 1m7f168y Gd 167 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 97 par4 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 99 · 2m3f207y Gd 151 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 99 par24/074OR 995 @ Bangor-on-Dee 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 98 · 2m145y Gd 168 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 98 par4 @ Chepstow 10/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 98 · 2m3f100y Goo 151 · below its mark10/10/2026 · OR 98 par10/104OR 98projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10ChepstowCharlie Deutsch46th6th0
2026-09-04Bangor-on-DeeBenjamin Poste52nd3rd−1
2026-07-24UttoxeterBenjamin Poste44th4th0
2026-07-07UttoxeterCharlie Deutsch52nd3rd−1
2026-01-15LudlowBenjamin Poste48th8th0
2025-12-26AintreeBenjamin Poste44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0826/1224/0710/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-10 · tight 81/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -15.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20252nd80/10%93%+0.93
31/10/20256th125/10%50%+0.50
25/11/20253rd18/15%71%+0.66
26/12/20254th22/10%50%+0.50
15/01/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
07/07/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
24/07/20264th9/276%67%-0.10
04/09/20262nd1/195%67%-0.28
10/10/20266th9/276%38%-0.39