Secret Sniper
5yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 108
Ascot · Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 63y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sandown | Thomas Bellamy | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Taunton | Paul O'Brien | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Huntingdon | J J Burke | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Wincanton | J J Burke | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ascot | S Bowen | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Hereford | James Bowen | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 21/12/2024 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 21/11/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 65% | +0.12 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |