Jet To Vegas
7yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 135
Ascot · Ascot Underwriting Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 2f 181y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Market Rasen | B S Hughes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Punchestown | D R Fox | 1 | +2 | ||
| 2026-04-10 | Aintree | D R Fox | 1 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kelso | B S Hughes | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Musselburgh | B S Hughes | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ascot | D R Fox | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 04/04/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 21/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 01/01/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 28/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.30 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 26/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |