Boothill
11yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 137
Ascot · Sodexo Live! Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 172y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Aintree | Bryan Carver | 1 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cheltenham | Bryan Carver | 1 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Kempton | Bryan Carver | 1 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Sandown | Bryan Carver | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Ascot | Bryan Carver | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2025-01-18 | Ascot | Bryan Carver | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2023 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/11/2023 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/04/2024 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/11/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 18/01/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/12/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 11/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 09/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |