Brookie
9yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 137
Ascot · Sodexo Live! Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 172y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sandown | Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | +2 | ||
| 2026-04-09 | Aintree | Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cheltenham | Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Ascot | Sam Twiston-Davies | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-24 | Cheltenham | Sam Twiston-Davies | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Punchestown | Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 29/11/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/12/2024 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 05/04/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 01/05/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 11/03/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/04/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |