11
Gabriel's Getaway
9yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 120
Ascot · Sodexo Live! Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 172y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Bangor-on-Dee | Ben Godfrey | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Doncaster | Rex Dingle | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Doncaster | Rex Dingle | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Sandown | Rex Dingle | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Kempton | Rex Dingle | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2025-11-22 | Ascot | Rex Dingle | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2024 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 01/03/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |