Glengouly
10yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 135
Ascot · Sodexo Live! Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 172y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Chepstow | S Bowen | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Uttoxeter | Ben Jones | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | S Bowen | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | Mr D McGill | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-28 | Newbury | Caoilin Quinn | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-01 | Cheltenham | S Bowen | 1 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 04/04/2025 | 23rd | 33/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 25/05/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/10/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 11/10/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |