IvyArcIvyArc
8

Gore Point

6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 133

Ascot · Sodexo Live! Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 172y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

56%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Most progressive chaser who has already won 5 of his last 6 starts over fences this season, including another small field at Newton Abbot last month. Will find this much more competitive but he's thriving and has the advantage of race fitness.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength2%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 15/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 99 · 2m110y Gd 167 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 99 par15/105OR 995 @ Taunton 27/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 97 · 2m2f40y Goo 168 · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 97 par5 @ Fontwell 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 97 · 2m3f104y Goo 161 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 97 par10/065OR 975 @ Stratford 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 96 · 2m3f98y Goo 164 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 96 par3 @ Newton Abbot 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 96 · 2m75y Goo 148 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 96 par3/073OR 964 @ Newton Abbot 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 109 · 2m75y Goo 168 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 109 par3 @ Newton Abbot 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 117 · 2m75y Goo 164 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 117 par22/083OR 1172 @ Newton Abbot 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 117 · 2m75y Goo 163 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 117 par3 @ Newton Abbot 28/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 125 · 2m75y Goo 164 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 125 par28/093OR 125projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Newton AbbotHarry Cobden31st2nd−1
2026-08-27Newton AbbotSam Twiston-Davies24th4th0
2026-08-22Newton AbbotSam Twiston-Davies31st2nd−1
2026-07-13Newton AbbotSam Twiston-Davies41st3rd−2
2026-07-03Newton AbbotSam Twiston-Davies31st2nd−1
2026-06-29StratfordSam Twiston-Davies51st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1029/0622/0828/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength27%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20254th6/168%75%+0.07
27/11/20252nd10/382%86%+0.03
10/06/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13
29/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
03/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
13/07/20261st1/297%100%+0.03
22/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
27/08/20264th5/696%0%-0.96
28/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26