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12

Haas Boy

9yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 120

Ascot · Sodexo Live! Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 172y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Enjoyed a resurgent campaign for Chester Williams in 2025/26, winning 3 times over fences (including over C&D final start) and once over hurdles. Set for another productive season after just failing to reel in the front runner over hurdles at Chepstow on return 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Exeter 09/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 105 · 2m3f48y Goo 163 · below its mark09/02/2025 · OR 105 par9/024OR 1054 @ Newton Abbot 18/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 99 · 2m75y GS 156 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 99 par4 @ Exeter 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 105 · 2m161y Gd 163 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 105 par7/114OR 1053 @ Huntingdon 07/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 110 · 1m7f171y Sft 155 · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 110 par4 @ Wincanton 26/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 111 · 1m7f50y Goo 169 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 111 par26/124OR 1114 @ Exeter 09/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 109 · 2m1f109y Goo 162 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 109 par4 @ Wincanton 05/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 106 · 1m7f149y Goo 160 · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 106 par5/034OR 1063 @ Ascot 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 114 · 2m172y Goo 160 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 114 par3 @ Chepstow 11/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 114 · 2m16y Goo 152 · beat its mark11/10/2026 · OR 114 par11/103OR 114projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11ChepstowLorcan Williams32nd3rd−1
2026-03-29AscotThomas Bellamy31st2nd−1
2026-03-05WincantonThomas Bellamy41st3rd−2
2026-01-09ExeterHarry Cobden46th8th−2
2025-12-26WincantonThomas Bellamy42nd4th−2
2025-12-07HuntingdonHarry Cobden32nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/027/125/0311/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 58/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20253rd6/168%75%+0.07
18/10/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
07/11/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
07/12/20252nd9/276%89%+0.13
26/12/20252nd4/179%91%+0.12
09/01/20266th2/189%50%-0.39
05/03/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
29/03/20261st16/583%100%+0.17
11/10/20262nd15/261%86%+0.25