Shakeyatailfeather
7yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 123
Ascot · Sodexo Live! Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 172y
#11
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Kempton | Tristan Durrell | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kempton | Harry Atkins | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Huntingdon | Harry Skelton | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Ascot | Miss Heidi Palin | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ascot | Tristan Durrell | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Kelso | Tristan Durrell | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 22% | -0.33 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |