4

Califet En Vol
7yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 139
Ascot · Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 185y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Ayr | N de Boinville | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kempton | N de Boinville | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kempton | N de Boinville | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cheltenham | N de Boinville | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Cheltenham | N de Boinville | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Cheltenham | N de Boinville | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 06/02/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/04/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 58% | -0.26 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |