3
Henry's Friend
9yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 142
Ascot · Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 185y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sandown | Ben Jones | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-21 | Kempton | Ben Jones | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Ascot | Kielan Woods | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Cheltenham | Ben Jones | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ascot | Ben Jones | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Ayr | Ben Jones | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2024 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 30/11/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 28/12/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/03/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.43 |
| 12/04/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 68% | +0.68 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 21/02/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |