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10

Imperial Alex

9yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 126

Ascot · Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 185y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Likeable sort who was thriving earlier this year, bagging extended 27f handicap chase at Stratford prior to following up gamely in Summer Cup at Uttoxeter (3m) in June. However, below best from career-high mark over same C&D in July and he resumes with his yard yet to get going this autumn. Visored.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Uttoxeter 17/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 116 · 3m10y Gd 160 · below its mark17/05/2025 · OR 116 par17/053OR 1164 @ Perth 08/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 117 · 2m7f180y Gd 167 · beat its mark08/06/2025 · OR 117 par3 @ Cheltenham 15/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 120 · 3m1f Hvy 156 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 120 par15/113OR 1203 @ Sandown 07/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 118 · 3m42y Sft 151 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 118 par2 @ Warwick 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 117 · 3m Goo 159 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 117 par26/032OR 1174 @ Ffos Las 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 115 · 2m7f177y Goo 163 · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 115 par3 @ Stratford 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 119 · 3m3f119y Goo 168 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 119 par30/053OR 1192 @ Uttoxeter 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 122 · 3m10y Goo 144 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 122 par2 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 126 · 3m10y Gd 159 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 126 par26/072OR 126projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26UttoxeterStan Sheppard25th6th−1
2026-06-28UttoxeterStan Sheppard21st2nd−1
2026-05-30StratfordStan Sheppard31st3rd−2
2026-05-05Ffos LasStan Sheppard42nd6th−3
2026-03-26WarwickStan Sheppard25th6th−1
2026-03-07SandownJ J Burke37th9th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/057/0330/0526/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20252nd15/261%88%+0.27
08/06/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
15/11/202511th18/15%33%+0.28
07/03/20267th18/15%14%+0.09
26/03/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
05/05/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
30/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
28/06/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
26/07/20265th9/276%33%-0.43