8
Neon Moon
10yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 128
Ascot · Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 185y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Haydock | Rian Corcoran | 2 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Exeter | Jack Tudor | 3 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Ascot | Harry Cobden | 2 | −1 | ||
| 2025-12-17 | Ludlow | R P McLernon | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ascot | Harry Cobden | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ascot | Jack Tudor | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 18/12/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 22/03/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 03/05/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.28 |