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7

Queensbury Boy

7yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 131

Ascot · Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 185y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Walked over for first chase success at Hereford in May. Followed that with a good second at Uttoxeter later that month and landed biggest prize to date with cheekpieces added when taking Summer Plate at Market Rasen (21f) in July. Remains unexposed at 3m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Punchestown 02/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 131 · 2m4f140y Yie 166 · below its mark02/05/2025 · OR 131 par2/051OR 1311 @ Chepstow 10/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 131 · 2m3f100y Gd 154 · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 131 par3 @ Cheltenham 16/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 131 · 2m4f44y Sft 153 · below its mark16/11/2025 · OR 131 par16/113OR 1313 @ Kempton 26/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 129 · 2m4f110y Goo 163 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 129 par3 @ Windsor 16/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 127 · 3m60y Sft 155 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 127 par16/013OR 1273 @ Kelso 13/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 127 · 2m5f133y Hvy 164 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 127 par3 @ Uttoxeter 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 127 · 2m4f Gd 164 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 127 par16/053OR 1272 @ Uttoxeter 28/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 127 · 3m10y Goo 149 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 127 par1 @ Market Rasen 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 127 · 2m5f89y Gd 152 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 127 par18/071OR 127projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Market RasenJames Bowen11st1st0
2026-06-28UttoxeterShane Fenelon28th9th−1
2026-05-16UttoxeterBrendan Powell32nd4th−2
2026-05-12HerefordJames Bowen31st3rd−2
2026-02-13KelsoJames Bowen36th8th−2
2026-01-16WindsorJames Bowen32nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1016/0116/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20254th5/493%57%-0.36
16/11/20255th4/179%20%-0.59
26/12/20255th7/163%56%-0.08
16/01/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13
13/02/20266th10/382%0%-0.82
12/05/20261st4/696%50%-0.46
16/05/20262nd2/189%67%-0.23
28/06/20268th4/179%42%-0.37
18/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39