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Your Darling

11yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 144

Ascot · Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 185y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran course winner who is a risky betting proposition but capitalised on ease in grade when successful at Ludlow (3m) in March. Struggled in listed company at Punchestown final start in May and whilst yet to defy a mark this high, he's often reserved his best for this venue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 18/11/2022 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 123 · 2m5f8y Goo 146 · beat its mark18/11/2022 · OR 123 par18/112OR 1232 @ Kempton 27/12/2022 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 133 · 3m Sft 156 · below its mark27/12/2022 · OR 133 parBHA127 @ Galway 04/08/2023 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR 127 · 2m6f111y Gd 153 · below its mark04/08/2023 · OR 127 par4/08127OR 1272 @ Ascot 24/11/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 128 · 2m5f8y Goo 155 · beat its mark24/11/2023 · OR 128 par2 @ Uttoxeter 26/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 137 · 2m4f Sft 165 · beat its mark26/05/2024 · OR 137 par26/052OR 1372 @ Ascot 21/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 142 · 2m5f13y Goo 168 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 142 par2 @ Kempton 10/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 138 · 3m Goo 163 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 138 par10/012OR 1381 @ Ascot 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 139 · 2m7f185y Goo 153 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 139 par3 @ Ludlow 30/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 139 · 2m7f171y Gd 167 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 139 par30/033OR 139projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-02PunchestownJack Kennedy10
2026-03-30LudlowBen Jones31st3rd−2
2026-02-14AscotBen Jones13rd3rd0
2026-01-10KemptonBen Jones22nd3rd−1
2025-11-21AscotBen Jones24th5th−1
2024-05-26UttoxeterBen Jones21st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1124/1110/0130/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/11/20221st10/382%100%+0.18
27/12/20225th10/382%69%-0.13
04/08/20239th5/174%50%-0.24
24/11/20231st11/486%100%+0.14
26/05/20241st12/137%100%+0.63
21/11/20254th9/488%0%-0.88
10/01/20262nd15/261%75%+0.14
14/02/20263rd15/261%80%+0.19
30/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12