4

Masterius

4yo Gelding · 10-13

Ascot · 1st Class Logistics Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 157y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Picked up for £30,000 after runner-up sole outing in Irish points (chaser on pedigree). Fair performer in bumpers, aided by the run of the race when off the mark in small field at Southwell earlier this month. Has some potentially above-average prospects to contend with on hurdling debut, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Market Rasen 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 15119/0655 @ Market Rasen 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 1545/0755 @ Southwell 13/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m7f182y Gd 15313/105projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13SouthwellJack Tudor51st3rd−2
2026-07-05Market RasenJack Tudor53rd5th−2
2026-06-19Market RasenJack Tudor52nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/065/0713/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 60/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
05/07/20263rd1/195%80%-0.15
13/10/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03