Brendas Asking
8yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 118
Ascot · Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 157y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | Aamilah Aswat | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Haydock | Aamilah Aswat | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Ludlow | Nathan Andrews | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-03-13 | Cheltenham | Thomas Bellamy | 1 | 18th | 17th | +1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Ascot | J J Burke | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-12-04 | Ludlow | J J Burke | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2024 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 09/10/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 08/11/2024 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 04/12/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 18/01/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/03/2025 | 18th | 200/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 23/04/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |