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16

Gower Prince

8yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 108

Ascot · Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 157y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gamely capitalised on a lower hurdles mark at the second attempt at Chepstow (2m, soft) earlier this month. Proving more consistent since joining present yard (2 wins and 4 seconds from 6 chase/hurdle starts). More on his plate from 6 lb out of the handicap, even with good-value claimer aboard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Stratford 02/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 108 · 2m213y Goo 145 · beat its mark02/07/2024 · OR 108 par2/073OR 1084 @ Market Rasen 20/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 108 · 2m1f43y Gd 166 · below its mark20/07/2024 · OR 108 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 04/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 99 · 2m145y Goo 164 · below its mark04/07/2025 · OR 99 par4/074OR 995 @ Market Rasen 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 99 · 2m1f43y Goo 167 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 99 par4 @ Newton Abbot 06/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 102 · 2m75y Goo 158 · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 102 par6/054OR 1024 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 101 · 2m1f43y Gd 161 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 101 par3 @ Stratford 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 108 · 2m213y Goo 142 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 108 par5/093OR 1083 @ Plumpton 20/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 100 · 1m7f195y Goo 142 · beat its mark20/09/2026 · OR 100 par3 @ Chepstow 11/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 104 · 2m16y Goo 142 · beat its mark11/10/2026 · OR 104 par11/103OR 104projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11ChepstowBenjamin Macey31st2nd−1
2026-09-20PlumptonBenjamin Macey32nd3rd−1
2026-09-05StratfordBenjamin Macey32nd3rd−1
2026-08-15Market RasenR P McLernon41st3rd−2
2026-05-06Newton AbbotJames Bowen42nd4th−2
2026-04-05Market RasenK Brogan52nd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/075/045/0911/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength70%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20242nd6/168%75%+0.07
20/07/20247th10/147%50%+0.03
04/07/20256th40/10%17%+0.17
05/04/20262nd11/142%86%+0.44
06/05/20262nd2/189%50%-0.39
15/08/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
05/09/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14
20/09/20262nd4/179%75%-0.04
11/10/20261st5/287%100%+0.13