Hamlet's Night
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 130
Ascot · Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 157y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Carlisle | B S Hughes | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-10-09 | Chepstow | J J Burke | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Yarmouth | L Morris | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | Brendan Powell | 1 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Musselburgh | Jason Hart | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Plumpton | Brendan Powell | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 18/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/02/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 09/10/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.38 |
| 22/10/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |