8

Rightsotom

7yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 124

Ascot · Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 157y

#13

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful handicap hurdler in 2024/5. Ran to a similar level as a novice chaser, pulled up soon after a bad mistake final start last season. First-time blinkers added following a lacklustre reappearance in the Silver Trophy and may still need this ahead of a potential return to fences.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Doncaster 30/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 123 · 2m3f88y Goo 166 · beat its mark30/11/2024 · OR 123 par30/113OR 1233 @ Newbury 28/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 131 · 2m4f118y GS 168 · below its mark28/12/2024 · OR 131 par2 @ Ascot 15/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 131 · 2m3f58y Goo 162 · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 131 par15/022OR 1312 @ Cheltenham 16/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 129 · 2m4f56y Gd 166 · below its mark16/04/2025 · OR 129 par3 @ Cheltenham 25/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 130 · 2m4f44y Goo 159 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 130 par25/103OR 1301 @ Wincanton 08/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 127 · 2m4f35y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 127 par3 @ Doncaster 13/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 129 · 2m3f31y Goo 163 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 129 par13/123OR 1293 @ Kempton 02/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 127 · 2m4f110y Goo 155 · below its mark02/02/2026 · OR 127 par1 @ Chepstow 10/10/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 126 · 2m3f100y Goo 146 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/10/2026 · OR 126 par10/101OR 126projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10ChepstowBrendan Powell114th13th+1
2026-03-14KemptonThomas Bellamy3−1
2026-02-02KemptonThomas Bellamy33rd4th−1
2025-12-29NewburyBrendan Powell3−1
2025-12-13DoncasterJack Tudor34th5th−1
2025-11-08WincantonBrendan Powell13rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1116/0413/1210/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/11/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
28/12/20245th6/168%60%-0.08
15/02/202510th12/137%10%-0.27
16/04/20253rd14/126%85%+0.58
25/10/20259th16/116%38%+0.23
08/11/20253rd9/153%50%-0.03
13/12/20254th10/382%25%-0.57
02/02/20263rd16/583%67%-0.16
10/10/202614th33/10%19%+0.19