Williethebuilder
7yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 140
Ascot · Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 157y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
53%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Sedgefield | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Haydock | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | Jack Tudor | 1 | 18th | 17th | +1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Musselburgh | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Kempton | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Kempton | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 13/03/2026 | 18th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 18/10/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |