Zillow
6yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 117
Ascot · Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 157y
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Plumpton | Harry Kimber | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | Harry Cobden | 3 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | Harry Cobden | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-28 | Cartmel | B S Hughes | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fairyhouse | Anna McGuinness | 1 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | Sean Cleary-Farrell | 2 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/12/2025 | 15th | 13/2 | 66% | 7% | -0.59 |
| 13/03/2026 | 18th | 50/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 04/04/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 29/08/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |