3
Shane's Spirit
4yo Gelding · 11-5
Ascot · Ascot Colts And Fillies' Club Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 157y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Plumpton | James Bowen | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-24 | Perth | Sean Quinlan | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |