7

Majordomo

4yo Gelding · 10-13

Ayr · Ben Arthur's Bothy Of Arrochar EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked a good prospect when winning a Newcastle bumper and Carlisle junior hurdle (both 17f, good to soft) last season.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 14/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 15614/1154 @ Carlisle 08/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 2m1f Sft 1548/034projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-08CarlisleJack Power41st1st0
2025-11-14NewcastleJack Power51st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/118/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength96%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
08/03/20261st10/382%100%+0.18