9

Jet Light

7yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83

Ayr · BSB Structural Handicap Chase · 3m 20y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up in an Irish point but went with very little promise over hurdles. Similarly unpromising start to his chase career after a year off at Hexham in April.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 19/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f218y Sft 158 · HIGHER CLASS19/1144 @ Ayr 02/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m4f100y Sft 160 · HIGHER CLASS2/0144 @ Ayr 11/02/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f100y Sft 163 · HIGHER CLASS11/0245 @ Hexham 13/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 87 · 3m41y Goo 155 · below its mark13/04/2026 · OR 87 par13/045OR 87projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-13HexhamCharlotte Jones58th8th0
2025-04-23PerthMiss Natasha Cookson50
2025-02-11AyrCharlotte Jones47th6th+1
2025-01-02AyrCharlotte Jones47th6th+1
2024-11-19CarlisleCharlotte Jones47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/112/0111/0213/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +6.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/11/20247th18/15%33%+0.28
02/01/20257th50/10%40%+0.40
11/02/20257th40/10%45%+0.45
13/04/20268th28/10%46%+0.46