Prince Des Fichaux
9yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 99
Ayr · BSB Structural Handicap Chase · 3m 20y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-25 | Perth | Sean Quinlan | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2025-04-07 | Kelso | Sean Quinlan | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Newcastle | Sean Quinlan | 2 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-01-28 | Newcastle | Sam Twiston-Davies | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2025-01-06 | Ayr | Danny McMenamin | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-12-08 | Kelso | Danny McMenamin | 3 | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2023 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 30/01/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 24/02/2024 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 15/04/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 26/04/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 17/10/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/01/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 22/02/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 07/04/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |