The Grey Venture
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Ayr · BSB Structural Handicap Chase · 3m 20y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Kelso | Jonathon Bewley | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Carlisle | Jonathon Bewley | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Newcastle | Jonathon Bewley | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +33.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |