2
Blue Las
8yo Mare · 11-13 · OR 129
Ayr · United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle · 3m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength42%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.1
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Exeter | Dylan Johnston | 1 | 1st | -2th | +2 |
| 2025-12-29 | Doncaster | Dylan Johnston | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Warwick | Dylan Johnston | 1 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-11-27 | Lingfield | Dylan Johnston | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-29 | Uttoxeter | Dylan Johnston | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-02-13 | Sandown | Dylan Johnston | 1 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/04/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 20/11/2024 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 19/12/2024 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 13/02/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 29/03/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |