6
Eagles Reprieve
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 120
Ayr · United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle · 3m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 1.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Ayr | Jack Power | 2 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-21 | Kelso | Jack Power | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-27 | Newcastle | Jack Power | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-18 | Kelso | Jack Power | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Kelso | Jack Power | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Carlisle | D R Fox | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 67/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2024 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 30/12/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 09/03/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.03 |
| 18/11/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 27/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |