The G Wizard
6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 113
Ayr · United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle · 3m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Perth | Bruce Lynn | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Musselburgh | Bruce Lynn | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-02-23 | Ayr | Bruce Lynn | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Musselburgh | Bruce Lynn | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-22 | Musselburgh | Bruce Lynn | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-18 | Kelso | Bruce Lynn | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 80% | -0.03 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 23/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 11% | -0.74 |
| 24/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |