3
Halftheworldaway
5yo Mare · 11-13 · OR 114
Ayr · Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Bangor-on-Dee | Toby Wynne | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Bangor-on-Dee | Craig Nichol | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Uttoxeter | Craig Nichol | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Wetherby | Craig Nichol | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Carlisle | C J Todd | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |