Monochromix
8yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 98
Ayr · Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | Wetherby | Jack Power | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Perth | P W Wadge | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Perth | Jack Power | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Carlisle | P W Wadge | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Carlisle | D R Fox | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-06 | Ayr | P W Wadge | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 12/10/2024 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 09/12/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 06/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 09/03/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 23/03/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 25/04/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 25/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |