9

Rock On Jet

7yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 103

Ayr · Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

A fair winning 2m hurdler. Yet to match that form in this sphere, a well-held fourth of 11 in handicap chase at Hexham (2m) in April. Goes up in trip for his return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cork 01/04/2024 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m3f Sft 1681/04C?4 @ Hexham 04/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m48y Goo 1554 @ Hexham 04/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m48y Gd 1544/1044 @ Ayr 02/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 105 · 2m GS 154 · below its mark02/11/2024 · OR 105 par4 @ Ayr 06/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 105 · 2m Sft 163 · beat its mark06/01/2025 · OR 105 par6/014OR 1054 @ Ayr 11/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 113 · 2m110y Goo 161 · below its mark11/02/2025 · OR 113 par4 @ Hexham 25/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 113 · 2m48y Goo 161 · below its mark25/03/2025 · OR 113 par25/034OR 1134 @ Ayr 02/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 109 · 2m110y Sft 168 · below its mark02/01/2026 · OR 109 par4 @ Hexham 13/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 106 · 1m7f133y Goo 164 · below its mark13/04/2026 · OR 106 par13/044OR 106projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-13HexhamJonathon Bewley44th4th0
2026-01-02AyrJonathon Bewley43rd3rd0
2025-12-01AyrJonathon Bewley40
2025-03-25HexhamJonathon Bewley44th4th0
2025-02-11AyrB S Hughes43rd3rd0
2025-01-06AyrDanny McMenamin41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/042/1125/0313/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 9-10 · tight 86/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/04/20245th14/126%64%+0.37
04/05/20243rd14/126%82%+0.56
04/10/20242nd5/174%83%+0.10
02/11/20243rd7/282%82%+0.00
06/01/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
11/02/20253rd6/492%60%-0.32
25/03/20254th11/271%57%-0.14
02/01/20263rd3/184%33%-0.51
13/04/20264th12/137%70%+0.33