9

Rock On Jet
7yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 103
Ayr · Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Hexham | Jonathon Bewley | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ayr | Jonathon Bewley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Ayr | Jonathon Bewley | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-25 | Hexham | Jonathon Bewley | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-02-11 | Ayr | B S Hughes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-01-06 | Ayr | Danny McMenamin | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 9-10 · tight 86/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 04/05/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 04/10/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 02/11/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 06/01/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/02/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 25/03/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 13/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |