9

Clanokre Lass

4yo Filly · 11-2 · OR 99

Ayr · '3B Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle · 2m

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cheap purchase for a top Irish yard. Looked more straightforward when 5½ lengths third in Down Royal maiden (17f) on qualifying run. Friendless in the betting when down the field over longer trip at Navan (19f, 22/1) last month. One to note if the market speaks more favourably.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m60y Goo 15910/05C?C8 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 2m113y Goo 1465/06C8C8 @ Downpatrick 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 1509/08C8C8 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Goo 15028/08C8BHA97 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 97 · 2m3f Gd 163 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 97 par19/0997OR 97projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NavanDanny GilliganBHA9711th18th−6
2026-08-28Down RoyalJosh Williamson?3rd8th−4
2026-08-09DownpatrickSam Ewing?5th10th−4
2026-06-05ClonmelCalum Hogan?4th9th−4
2026-05-10CorkJoshua Halford?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/055/069/0828/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20266th10/147%50%+0.03
05/06/20264th10/147%81%+0.34
09/08/20265th22/10%33%+0.33
28/08/20263rd22/10%78%+0.78
19/09/202611th22/10%33%+0.33