9

Clanokre Lass
4yo Filly · 11-2 · OR 99
Ayr · '3B Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | Danny Gilligan | BHA97 | 11th | 18th | −6 |
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | Josh Williamson | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | Sam Ewing | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | Calum Hogan | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | Joshua Halford | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 81% | +0.34 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 19/09/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |