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10

Dancing Fruits

5yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 97

Ayr · '3B Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle · 2m

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed once from 4 starts in points. Never looked like justifying support on qualifying run/final start for Ellmarie Holden in May. Hardly a positive he was sold for only £5,500 ahead of this stable/handicap debut, either.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 2m50y Hvy 1667/03C8C8 @ Clonmel 14/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 2m3f185y Yie 15814/04C8C8 @ Downpatrick 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 2m2f185y Goo 1588/05C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-08DownpatrickPaddy Cody?6th11th−4
2026-04-14ClonmelPaddy Cody?7th12th−4
2026-03-07Gowran ParkPaddy Cody?5th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0314/048/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 23/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -23.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20265th11/142%76%+0.34
14/04/20267th20/10%63%+0.63
08/05/20266th5/174%62%-0.12