5
Dee's Getaway
6yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 104
Ayr · '3B Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Hexham | Edward Austin | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Hexham | Edward Austin | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Carlisle | Edward Austin | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Musselburgh | Edward Austin | 5 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-11-18 | Kelso | Edward Austin | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ayr | Edward Austin | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 30/05/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 18/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 22/12/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |