Pure Gold
6yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 101
Ayr · '3B Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Perth | Peter Kavanagh | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | Peter Kavanagh | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Perth | Peter Kavanagh | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-12 | Perth | Callum Bewley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Perth | Peter Kavanagh | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Perth | Peter Kavanagh | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 23/09/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |