5
Jeune Prince
7yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 114
Ayr · Bet With On Course Bookmakers Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | Ayr | P W Wadge | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-01-02 | Ayr | D R Fox | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-11-30 | Newcastle | D R Fox | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-10-17 | Carlisle | D R Fox | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-03-28 | Wetherby | Alan Doyle | 5 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2024-02-05 | Carlisle | Alan Doyle | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 28/03/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 17/10/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/11/2024 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 02/01/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 11/02/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |