Platin Moon
5yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 104
Ayr · Bet With On Course Bookmakers Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Perth | Bruce Lynn | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-06 | Ayr | Bruce Lynn | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Musselburgh | Bruce Lynn | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Ayr | Bruce Lynn | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Carlisle | Bruce Lynn | 5 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-11-12 | Ayr | Bruce Lynn | 5 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 01/02/2025 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 01/03/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 13/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |