1
Tales Of Bravery
6yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 123
Ayr · Bet With On Course Bookmakers Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | Ludlow | Harry Skelton | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Uttoxeter | C J Todd | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Uttoxeter | Tristan Durrell | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Chepstow | Harry Skelton | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 58/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 1/6 | 99% | 83% | -0.16 |