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9

Anamanda

7yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 81

Ayr · Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle · 3m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 3-time winner on the Flat in France and whilst yet to taste success over hurdles, she ran well in a refitted hood when second at Musselburgh (3m) in March. Probably needed first start for 6 months at Perth in September and she's not one to write off from this much-reduced mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Musselburgh 21/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 89 · 2m7f180y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/03/2025 · OR 89 par21/032OR 895 @ Kelso 22/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 89 · 2m4f189y Gd 160 · beat its mark22/04/2025 · OR 89 par5 @ Perth 24/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 91 · 2m7f207y Goo 165 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 91 par24/095OR 914 @ Kelso 25/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 2m6f151y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Musselburgh 08/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 2m3f171y Sft 157 · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 89 par8/125OR 895 @ Doncaster 23/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 86 · 2m3f88y Sft 161 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 86 par5 @ Musselburgh 15/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m7f124y Goo 152 · beat its mark15/02/2026 · OR 84 par15/025OR 845 @ Musselburgh 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 81 · 2m7f180y GS 149 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 81 par5 @ Perth 23/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 82 · 2m7f207y Goo 154 · below its mark23/09/2026 · OR 82 par23/095OR 82projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23PerthBruce Lynn510th10th0
2026-03-20MusselburghBruce Lynn52nd2nd0
2026-02-15MusselburghBruce Lynn54th4th0
2026-01-23DoncasterBruce Lynn55th5th0
2025-12-08MusselburghBruce Lynn55th5th0
2025-10-25KelsoDominic Hislop46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0325/1015/0223/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20253rd16/116%86%+0.70
22/04/20252nd10/382%92%+0.10
24/09/20256th12/137%44%+0.08
25/10/20256th3/184%29%-0.56
08/12/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
23/01/20265th22/10%60%+0.60
15/02/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
20/03/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
23/09/202610th16/116%18%+0.02