9

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2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 91

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 12323/08C6BHA95 @ Laurel Park 26/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 95 · 1m110y Gd 117 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 95 par26/0995OR 95projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Laurel ParkMychel SanchezBHA952nd6th−4
2026-08-23SaratogaManuel Franco?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20264th7/163%50%-0.13
26/09/20262nd7/491%83%-0.07