5
Loyal Prince
2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 68
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Delaware Park | Jose Batista | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Belmont Park | Joel Rosario | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Monmouth Park | Jose Ferrer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | Paco Lopez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 27/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 19/09/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 07/10/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |