3
Extravaganzoo
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Key Cents Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Belmont Park | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Saratoga | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +24.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |