10
Forecheck
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Key Cents Stakes · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Belmont Park | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | Jose Ortiz | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -31.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 03/10/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |