9

Golden Maiden
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 81
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Key Cents Stakes · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength16%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Keeneland | Emmanuel Esquivel | ? | 11th | 6th | +4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -65.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/10/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |