9

Golden Maiden

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 81

Belmont Park · Race 10 - Key Cents Stakes · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength16%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 12330/08C6C0 @ Keeneland 02/10/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 96 · 1m110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 96 par2/10C?OR 96projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02KeenelandEmmanuel Esquivel?11th6th+4
2026-08-30SaratogaManuel Franco?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -65.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
02/10/202611th10/147%0%-0.47